Lululemon (LULU): Wall Street Keeps Cutting Targets, But Nobody’s Calling It Cheap Enough to Buy
On September 3, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 results for the period ended August 2, 2026. Net revenue fell 4% to $2.4 billion, missing the $2.46 billion analysts expected, and comparable sales dropped 10% on a constant dollar basis. Management cut full-year revenue guidance to a decline of 5% to 7%, down from a prior forecast of flat to down 1%, and lowered full-year earnings per share guidance to $9.48 to $9.73 from its prior forecast of $10.95 to $11.15, compared with $13.26 earned in fiscal 2025. Shares fell about 18% in extended trading. Incoming CEO Heidi O'Neill was set to start the following week.
Photo by Ian Deng Quddu on Unsplash
Bulls: A Cheaper Stock, Early Product Green Shoots, and a Strong Balance Sheet Buy Time
Citi's cut to $117 from $130 came with a Neutral rating and the observation that the stock's risk-reward is "slightly more favorable" after the selloff, even though the firm called fiscal 2027 visibility "very unclear." The operational bright spots are real.
lululemon athletica inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) increased its chase volume, the supply chain capability that lets it reorder fast-moving styles quickly, by about 20% this year, and away-from-body styles including the Groove Wide-Leg, Align Foldover Jogger, Breezily, and an updated Dance Studio Pant are trending well as shoppers shift from tight-fitting leggings. The brand's community pull held up too.
The SeaWheeze Half Marathon and Festival returned in August for the first time since 2019, drawing nearly 10,000 runners from 24 countries and roughly 14,000 festival attendees, while more than 85,000 people from 120 countries joined the companion Strava challenge, strong enough that Lululemon already committed to bringing the event back next summer. Rest of World revenue, spanning EMEA and APAC, grew 5% on a reported basis, and the company ended the quarter with $1.4 billion in cash and no outstanding borrowings.
Bears: A Guidance Cut Analysts Widely Called Jarring, with No Clear Bottom in Sight
Wells Fargo cut its target to $95 from $105, keeping an Equal Weight rating, saying the magnitude of the decline "feels jarring" with a 30% reduction to second-half earnings estimates.
Morgan Stanley's Alex Straton lowered her target to $83, keeping an Underweight rating, arguing the guidance cut "lowered the bar meaningfully, but we don't think the reset is done," and expects new management to pursue a "shrink to grow" strategy that drives further negative estimate revisions.
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